Tennis · Challenger Antofagasta · 07/10, 21:30
Prediction: Nick Hardt vs Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Team pages: Nick Hardt · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Prediction summary
Winner
Nick Hardt
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Nick Hardt
6-4 (W-L)
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nick Hardt 1493 · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 1516
| Nick Hardt | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Nick Hardt makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Nick Hardt | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-12 | 10.3-10.6 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 6.4 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 69% |
| Break % | 44.3% | 42.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nick Hardt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 01/09 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 25/08 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Jakub Filip Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/08 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 26/06 | Wilson Leite Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Nicolas Oliveira Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Dalibor Svrcina US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Moise Kouame Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Dali Blanch Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/08 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nick Hardt vs Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves?
Our model gives 58% to Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.