Tennis · Challenger Antofagasta · 07/10, 16:00
Prediction: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Murkel Dellien
Team pages: Thiago Seyboth Wild · Murkel Dellien
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Murkel Dellien
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Seyboth Wild
9-1 (W-L)
Murkel Dellien
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Thiago Seyboth Wild
1–0
Murkel Dellien
(1 last)
- 27 Apr2-1 15-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Seyboth Wild 1632 · Murkel Dellien 1454
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | Murkel Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 26% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thiago Seyboth Wild (rating 1632 vs 1454).
- Thiago Seyboth Wild is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Thiago Seyboth Wild 1–0 Murkel Dellien (1).
Statistics
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | Murkel Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (8) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-7.7 | 9-11.4 |
| Aces | 7.6 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 80.1% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 36.9% | 30.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Thiago Seyboth Wild 1 – 0 Murkel Dellien (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Thiago Seyboth Wild 1–0 Murkel Dellien
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/23 Challenger Buenos Aires | 2-1 | 15-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Seyboth Wild
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Matias Soto Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/09 | Matej Dodig Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 11/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Martin Krumich Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Mackenzie McDonald US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Raul Brancaccio US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Murkel Dellien
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Juan Estevez Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 22/09 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Adrian Andreev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Jack Loge M25 Wetzlar |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Lars Goran Verwerft M25 Wetzlar |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Murkel Dellien?
Our model gives 80% to Thiago Seyboth Wild, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.