Tennis · Challenger Antofagasta · 08/10, 16:00
Prediction: Gustavo Heide vs Eduardo Ribeiro
Team pages: Gustavo Heide · Eduardo Ribeiro
Prediction summary
Winner
Gustavo Heide
Eduardo Ribeiro
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Gustavo Heide
7-3 (W-L)
Eduardo Ribeiro
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gustavo Heide
3–2
Eduardo Ribeiro
(5 last)
- 06 Mar1-2 14-16L
- 27 Sept2-0 12-8W
- 26 Nov1-2 12-19L
- 05 Nov2-0 12-7W
- 25 Sept2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gustavo Heide 1572 · Eduardo Ribeiro 1527
| Gustavo Heide | Eduardo Ribeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gustavo Heide (rating 1572 vs 1527).
- Gustavo Heide is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Gustavo Heide 3–2 Eduardo Ribeiro (5).
Statistics
| Gustavo Heide | Eduardo Ribeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 78% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-8.7 | 11.1-11.3 |
| Aces | 4 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 38.4% | 32.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Gustavo Heide 3 – 2 Eduardo Ribeiro (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gustavo Heide 3–2 Eduardo Ribeiro
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/26 Challenger Brasilia | 1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 27/09/23 Challenger Bogota | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/11/22 ITF M25 Lajeado | 1-2 | 12-19 | L |
| 05/11/21 M15 Brasilia | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/09/21 ITF M15 Recife | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gustavo Heide
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 04/10 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/09 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/09 | Stan Wawrinka Davis Cup |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 11/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Sean Cuenin Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Eduardo Ribeiro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Pedro Sakamoto Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Federico Coria Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Jelle Sels Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 30/08 | Nicolas Barrientos Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 17/08 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gustavo Heide vs Eduardo Ribeiro?
Our model gives 68% to Gustavo Heide, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.