Tennis · WTA Samsun · 08/10, 10:00
Prediction: Alicia Dudeney vs Ayla Aksu
Team pages: Alicia Dudeney · Ayla Aksu
Prediction summary
Winner
Alicia Dudeney
Ayla Aksu
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Alicia Dudeney
5-5 (W-L)
Ayla Aksu
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alicia Dudeney 1543 · Ayla Aksu 1473
| Alicia Dudeney | Ayla Aksu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alicia Dudeney (rating 1543 vs 1473).
- Alicia Dudeney is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Alicia Dudeney makes many double faults (6.8/match).
- Note: Ayla Aksu makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Alicia Dudeney | Ayla Aksu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-10.2 | 10.5-12.3 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 6.8 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 73.6% | 57.8% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 59.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alicia Dudeney
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 02/10 | Katie Swan W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Linda Klimovicova W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 30/09 | Kira Pavlova W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W75 Ourense |
0-1 | 5-7 | L |
| 06/08 | Camilla Zanolini W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/08 | Ekaterina Yashina W75 Ourense |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 30/07 | Amelia Rajecki W50 Dublin |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W50 Dublin |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 18/07 | Naiktha Bains W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Ayla Aksu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Emiliana Arango WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Elena Pridankina WTA Adana · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Han Shi WTA Ankara · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 21/09 | Yuki Naito WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Elena Malygina WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Alana Smith W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Allegra Korpanec Davies W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 22/07 | Daria Snigur WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alicia Dudeney vs Ayla Aksu?
Our model gives 58% to Alicia Dudeney, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.