Tennis · W15 Maanshan · 07/10, 05:00
Prediction: Marianna Shikhanova vs Honori Koyama
Team pages: Marianna Shikhanova · Honori Koyama
Prediction summary
Winner
Marianna Shikhanova
Honori Koyama
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Marianna Shikhanova
6-4 (W-L)
Honori Koyama
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marianna Shikhanova 1534 · Honori Koyama 1451
| Marianna Shikhanova | Honori Koyama | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marianna Shikhanova (rating 1534 vs 1451).
- Note: Honori Koyama makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Marianna Shikhanova | Honori Koyama | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-9.2 | 8.9-10.7 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 55.3% |
| Break % | 60.9% | 44% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marianna Shikhanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Jiarui Sun W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/09 | Noelani Sara Teso W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Funa Kozaki W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Eva Marie Desvignes W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Wenfei Yu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Anna Snigireva W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 24/06 | Ke Ren W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Zijun Jiang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/05 | Laura Hietaranta W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Luna Vujovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Honori Koyama
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Eva Marie Desvignes W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/09 | Liuyan An W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Tiantian Sun W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Cheuk Ying Shek W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Himari Sato W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 15/05 | Cheuk Ying Shek W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Jeong Moon W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/05 | Koharu Niimi W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/03 | BoYoung Jeong W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marianna Shikhanova vs Honori Koyama?
Our model gives 60% to Marianna Shikhanova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.