Tennis · W15 Maanshan · 07/10, 03:30
Prediction: Xiaowei Li vs Daria Egorova
Team pages: Xiaowei Li · Daria Egorova
Prediction summary
Winner
Xiaowei Li
Daria Egorova
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Xiaowei Li
4-6 (W-L)
Daria Egorova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xiaowei Li 1472 · Daria Egorova 1516
| Xiaowei Li | Daria Egorova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 5% | 95% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daria Egorova (rating 1472 vs 1516).
- Note: Daria Egorova makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Xiaowei Li | Daria Egorova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.1-10.2 | 11.7-7.7 |
| Aces | 0 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 46.1% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 64.1% | 57.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xiaowei Li
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Anna Kubareva W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Onyu Choi W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/09 | Jing-Jing Lu W35 Shenyang |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 16/07 | JiaYi Wang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Niehua Tian W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Ikumi Yamazaki W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Junlu Sun W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Meiqi Guo W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Yui Ohwaki W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Daria Egorova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Guyu Xu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/09 | Kristiana Sidorova WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Elena Pridankina WTA Ankara · Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 21/09 | Melisa Ercan WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W35 Chacabuco |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 07/08 | Lourdes Ayala W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/08 | Victoria Bosio W35 Pergamino |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 31/07 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/07 | Valentina Mediorreal Arias W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xiaowei Li vs Daria Egorova?
Our model gives 78% to Daria Egorova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.