Tennis · W35 Las Vegas · 06/10, 20:30
Prediction: Anita Sahdiieva vs Francesca Mattioli
Team pages: Anita Sahdiieva · Francesca Mattioli
Prediction summary
Winner
Anita Sahdiieva
Francesca Mattioli
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Anita Sahdiieva
3-7 (W-L)
Francesca Mattioli
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anita Sahdiieva 1418 · Francesca Mattioli 1508
| Anita Sahdiieva | Francesca Mattioli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francesca Mattioli (rating 1418 vs 1508).
- Francesca Mattioli is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Francesca Mattioli makes many double faults (8.3/match).
Statistics
| Anita Sahdiieva | Francesca Mattioli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.7 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-12 | 11.4-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 8.3 |
| 1st serve % | 53.6% | 59.7% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 55.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anita Sahdiieva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Kate Fakih W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Valeriya Strakhova W100 Templeton |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 21/09 | Jenna Defalco W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Alyssa Ahn W35 Southaven |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Kaede Usui W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/07 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W35 Florence |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 15/07 | Malaika Rapolu W35 Dallas |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Violeta Martinez W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 27/05 | Reese Brantmeier W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Hibah Shaikh W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Francesca Mattioli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Rose Marie Nijkamp W15 Nashville |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 30/09 | Eva Maria Ionescu W15 Nashville |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 11/09 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Joanna Kennedy UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 08/09 | Emmie Moore UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/09 | Saray Yli-Piipari UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 31/07 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Pergamino |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Rebeca Pereira W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/07 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W75 Vacaria |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anita Sahdiieva vs Francesca Mattioli?
Our model gives 56% to Francesca Mattioli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.