Tennis · W35 Las Vegas · 07/10, 00:00
Prediction: Kristina Penickova vs Alina Shcherbinina
Team pages: Kristina Penickova · Alina Shcherbinina
Prediction summary
Winner
Kristina Penickova
Alina Shcherbinina
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Kristina Penickova
6-4 (W-L)
Alina Shcherbinina
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kristina Penickova
0–1
Alina Shcherbinina
(1 last)
- 12 Jun0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kristina Penickova 1504 · Alina Shcherbinina 1563
| Kristina Penickova | Alina Shcherbinina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alina Shcherbinina (rating 1504 vs 1563).
- Head-to-head: Kristina Penickova 0–1 Alina Shcherbinina (1).
- Note: Kristina Penickova makes many double faults (6.2/match).
- Note: Alina Shcherbinina makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Kristina Penickova | Alina Shcherbinina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.8 | 11.8-6.3 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 6.2 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 62% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
H2H · Kristina Penickova 0 – 1 Alina Shcherbinina (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kristina Penickova 0–1 Alina Shcherbinina
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/26 W15 Los Angeles | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kristina Penickova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Ella Mcdonald W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Carolina Kuhl W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Iryna Shymanovich W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Harriet Dart US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Elizabeth Mandlik US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/08 | Carmen Andreea Herea W35 Southaven |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Antonia Rivera W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Jo Yee Chan W35 Florence |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Liv Hovde W35 Florence |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Anastasia Kulikova W35 Santa Fe |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Alina Shcherbinina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Kailey Evans W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Hanna Chang W50 Berkeley |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 24/09 | Valeriya Strakhova W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Berta Passola W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Krisha Mahendran W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/09 | Marta Mariia Makarova UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 04/09 | Jade Psonka UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/09 | Maria Ustic UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/09 | Ligaya Murray UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Kayla Schefke UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kristina Penickova vs Alina Shcherbinina?
Our model gives 54% to Alina Shcherbinina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.