Tennis · W35 Las Vegas · 06/10, 22:30

Prediction: Ekaterina Maklakova vs Victoria Rodriguez

Team pages: Ekaterina Maklakova · Victoria Rodriguez

Prediction summary
Winner
62% 38%
Ekaterina Maklakova Victoria Rodriguez
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterina Maklakova 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLLLWLLW
Victoria Rodriguez 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWLWLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ekaterina Maklakova 1528 · Victoria Rodriguez 1426
Ekaterina MaklakovaVictoria Rodriguez
Our model64%36%
Market61%39%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ekaterina Maklakova (rating 1528 vs 1426).
  • Ekaterina Maklakova is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Ekaterina Maklakova makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Ekaterina MaklakovaVictoria Rodriguez
Win %60%20%
Win % · Hard – 17% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.3-10.9-1.6
Games (G-P)10.9-9.510.9-12.2
Aces2.40.3
Double faults41.2
1st serve %62.6%58.3%
Break %46.4%56.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ekaterina Maklakova

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/09 Carolina Kuhl
W100 Templeton
1-2 7-16 L
28/09 Jenna Defalco
W100 Templeton
2-1 16-13 W
24/09 Madison Brengle
W50 Berkeley
0-2 9-13 L
23/09 Jo Yee Chan
W50 Berkeley
2-0 13-10 W
30/07 Ingkar Dyussebay
W15 Astana
0-2 7-13 L
29/07 Ekaterina Kuznetsova
W15 Astana
2-1 16-11 W
17/07 Maria Sholokhova
W15 Astana
0-2 9-13 L
16/07 Anna Sedysheva
W15 Astana
2-0 12-4 W
15/07 Ksenia Laskutova
W15 Astana
2-0 8-1 W
12/07 Aruzhan Sagandikova
W15 Astana
2-0 12-1 W

Victoria Rodriguez

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/09 Evialina Laskevich
W50 Berkeley
1-2 13-16 L
13/09 Hayu Kinoshita
WTA Sao Paulo · Hard
1-2 12-13 L
22/08 Yulia Putintseva
WTA Monterrey · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
05/08 Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
W35 Southaven
0-2 12-14 L
29/06 Raphaelle Lacasse
W100 Cary · ~Hard
1-2 12-14 L
07/05 Luisina Giovannini
W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay
1-2 9-16 L
06/05 Sofi Plamenova Fitcheva
W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
11/04 Gabriela Ce
Billie Jean King Cup · Hard
1-2 13-16 L
10/04 Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Billie Jean King Cup · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
09/04 Emiliana Arango
Billie Jean King Cup · Hard
2-0 12-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Maklakova vs Victoria Rodriguez?

Our model gives 62% to Ekaterina Maklakova, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.