Tennis · W35 Las Vegas · 06/10, 22:30
Prediction: Yara Bartashevich vs Edda Mamedova
Team pages: Yara Bartashevich · Edda Mamedova
Prediction summary
Winner
Yara Bartashevich
Edda Mamedova
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Yara Bartashevich
3-7 (W-L)
Edda Mamedova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yara Bartashevich 1501 · Edda Mamedova 1572
| Yara Bartashevich | Edda Mamedova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Edda Mamedova (rating 1501 vs 1572).
- Edda Mamedova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Yara Bartashevich makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Yara Bartashevich | Edda Mamedova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.5-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-12.9 | 9.9-6.5 |
| Aces | 4 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.6% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 55.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yara Bartashevich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Anna Rogers W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez W50 Berkeley |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 27/07 | Tilwith Di Girolami W50 Knokke-Heist |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Daria Kuczer W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 24/07 | Linea Bajraliu W35 Gentofte |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Isabel Skoog W35 Gentofte |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Emma Kamper W35 Gentofte |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 16/07 | Katerina Tsygourova W35 Torino |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Oana Georgeta Simion W35 Torino |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Maria Sara Popa WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Edda Mamedova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Anna Pushkareva W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 1-8 | L |
| 08/08 | Irem Kurt W15 Astana |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/08 | Anna Bazderova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Akanksha Dileep Nitture W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/08 | Victoria Milovanova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Eva Korysheva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 31/07 | Maria Sholokhova W15 Astana |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Zeel Desai W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Alexandra Malova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yara Bartashevich vs Edda Mamedova?
Our model gives 58% to Edda Mamedova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.