Tennis · M15 Monastir · 06/10, 10:30
Prediction: Lucca Liu vs Sebastian Heinrich
Team pages: Lucca Liu · Sebastian Heinrich
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucca Liu
Sebastian Heinrich
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lucca Liu
6-4 (W-L)
Sebastian Heinrich
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucca Liu 1497 · Sebastian Heinrich 1519
| Lucca Liu | Sebastian Heinrich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lucca Liu | Sebastian Heinrich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-8.6 | 10.8-11.7 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 58.8% |
| Break % | 47.5% | 52.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucca Liu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Tuncay Duran M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-8 | L |
| 16/09 | Mathieu Scaglia M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Tim Loosen M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/09 | Oscar Brown M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 10/09 | Josh Manuel M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Mahmoud Chetouane M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Tiago Torres M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 29/06 | Goncalo Quintela M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Andrew Johnson M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Sebastian Heinrich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Marko Bekeni M25 Pardubice |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 22/09 | Max Frohlich M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/08 | Luca Wiedenmann M25 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Mac Visser M25 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Kylian Collignon M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Julian Forer M15 Frankfurt |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Justin Ilic M15 Frankfurt |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/07 | Maximilian Todorov M25 Gentofte |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Vincent Jonah Strauch M25 Gentofte |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Richard Antoni M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucca Liu vs Sebastian Heinrich?
Our model gives 70% to Lucca Liu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.