Tennis · M15 Monastir · 15/10, 10:30

Prediction: Luca Castagnola vs Kasra Rahmani

Team pages: Luca Castagnola · Kasra Rahmani

Prediction summary
Winner
38% 62%
Luca Castagnola Kasra Rahmani
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Castagnola 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLLWLWLW
Kasra Rahmani 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWWLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Luca Castagnola 1511 · Kasra Rahmani 1539
Luca CastagnolaKasra Rahmani
Our model46%54%
Market31%69%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Luca Castagnola makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Luca CastagnolaKasra Rahmani
Win %50%60%
Win % · Hard 60% (5) 67% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.11.4-0.9
Games (G-P)10.6-10.510.1-8
Aces1.51.7
Double faults41.4
1st serve %66.1%67.3%
Break %38.4%54.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Luca Castagnola

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/10 Josh Manuel
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
01/10 Robert Strombachs
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
1-2 11-16 L
30/09 Jan Werblinski
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
24/09 Fares Zakaria
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
23/09 Jan Hrazdil
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
06/09 Valerio Aboian
Challenger Genoa · Clay
1-2 11-16 L
03/09 Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M15 Bologna · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
02/09 Matic Hribar
M15 Bologna · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
21/08 Sebastian Sorger
M25 Slovenj Gradec
0-2 4-12 L
20/08 Stefan Popovic
M25 Slovenj Gradec
2-1 17-17 W

Kasra Rahmani

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/10 Taentawan Taddeo Majoli Maggioli
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
08/10 Kaan Isik Kosaner
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 7-16 L
07/10 Pablo De La Cierva Sanchez
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
29/09 Timofey Skatov
Asian Games
1-2 12-14 L
20/09 Benjamin Willwerth
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
19/09 Ewen Lumsden
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 14-9 W
18/09 Nazim Makhlouf
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 9-5 W
17/09 Hitesh Chauhan
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
15/09 Kris Van Wyk
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
12/09 Cesar Bouchelaghem
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Luca Castagnola vs Kasra Rahmani?

Our model gives 62% to Kasra Rahmani, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.