Tennis · M15 Monastir · 14/10, 10:30
Prediction: Sergio Callejon Hernando vs Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
Team pages: Sergio Callejon Hernando · Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
Prediction summary
Winner
Sergio Callejon Hernando
Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Sergio Callejon Hernando
6-4 (W-L)
Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sergio Callejon Hernando 1520 · Maxi Carrascosa Diaz 1463
| Sergio Callejon Hernando | Maxi Carrascosa Diaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sergio Callejon Hernando (rating 1520 vs 1463).
- Note: Maxi Carrascosa Diaz makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Sergio Callejon Hernando | Maxi Carrascosa Diaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-8.7 | 9.2-8.8 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 46.6% | 34% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sergio Callejon Hernando
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Matisse Bobichon M15 Pontevedra |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/10 | Ziga Sesko M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/10 | Diogo Marques M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Adrien Burdet M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/10 | Noah Thurner M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 01/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Goncalo Marques M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Borna Gojo Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Toby Martin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 17/09 | Benjamin Willwerth M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Pedro Petroski Rocha M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 01/09 | Artem Alekseychuk M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Toprak Avcibasi M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/08 | Enzo Helguera Casado M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Javier Munoz Fuster M25 Gandia |
1-2 | 11-10 | L |
| 22/06 | Carles Hernandez M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sergio Callejon Hernando vs Maxi Carrascosa Diaz?
Our model gives 75% to Sergio Callejon Hernando, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.