Tennis · Challenger Antofagasta · 06/10, 19:20
Prediction: Bernardo Munk Mesa vs Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Team pages: Bernardo Munk Mesa · Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Prediction summary
Winner
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Bernardo Munk Mesa
6-4 (W-L)
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bernardo Munk Mesa 1503 · Joao Lucas Reis da Silva 1512
| Bernardo Munk Mesa | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Bernardo Munk Mesa makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Bernardo Munk Mesa | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-12 | 9.7-9.8 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 53.1% | 54.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/10 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 08/09 | Mario Arce Fernandez M25 Gijon |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 04/09 | Ryan Nijboer M15 Madrid |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 03/09 | Juan Ignacio Gallego M15 Madrid |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Carles Cordoba M15 Madrid |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Pedro Vives Marcos M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Michiel de Krom M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Santander |
1-1 | 8-9 | L |
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 29/09 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/09 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Alex Molcan Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bernardo Munk Mesa vs Joao Lucas Reis da Silva?
Our model gives 66% to Joao Lucas Reis da Silva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.