Tennis · M15 Heraklion · 06/10, 10:30
Prediction: Barney Fitzpatrick vs James McGloughlin
Team pages: Barney Fitzpatrick · James McGloughlin
Prediction summary
Winner
Barney Fitzpatrick
James McGloughlin
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Barney Fitzpatrick
4-6 (W-L)
James McGloughlin
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Barney Fitzpatrick 1456 · James McGloughlin 1512
| Barney Fitzpatrick | James McGloughlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours James McGloughlin (rating 1456 vs 1512).
- James McGloughlin is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Barney Fitzpatrick | James McGloughlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.7-9.7 | 10.2-9.9 |
| Aces | 2 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 24.4% | 35.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barney Fitzpatrick
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Daniel De Jonge M15 Warsaw |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Adam Bajurko M15 Warsaw |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Lucas Marionneau M15 Dublin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Michael Wright M15 Dublin |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 22/05 | Lars Goran Verwerft M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Yoan Naydenov M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/04 | Isaac Becroft M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Sungbeen Sim M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/04 | Tristan Stringer M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 29/01 | Luca Staeheli M15 Zahra · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
James McGloughlin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Bora Sengul M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-1 | 6-7 | L |
| 01/09 | Chetanna Amadike M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Giuseppe Bonaiuti UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/08 | Iker Urribarrens UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Dani Szabo UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Nicholas Patrick UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M15 Dublin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Niels Villard M15 Dublin |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
| 26/07 | Alexander Watanabe Eriksson M15 Dublin |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Dylan Davies UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barney Fitzpatrick vs James McGloughlin?
Our model gives 63% to James McGloughlin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.