Tennis · M15 Heraklion · 07/10, 09:00

Prediction: Mathieu Scaglia vs Henri Haupt

Team pages: Mathieu Scaglia · Henri Haupt

Prediction summary
Winner
72% 28%
Mathieu Scaglia Henri Haupt
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Mathieu Scaglia 4-6 (W-L)
LWWWLLLWLL
Henri Haupt 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLWLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mathieu Scaglia 1511 · Henri Haupt 1479
Mathieu ScagliaHenri Haupt
Our model55%45%
Market87%13%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Mathieu Scaglia makes many double faults (4.2/match).
  • Note: Henri Haupt makes many double faults (4.2/match).

Statistics

Mathieu ScagliaHenri Haupt
Win %60%50%
Win % · Hard 50% (4) –
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.31-1.3
Games (G-P)13.3-12.38.7-10
Aces4.32.6
Double faults4.24.2
1st serve %73.3%65.2%
Break %60.1%52.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mathieu Scaglia

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/09 Lucca Liu
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
08/09 Robin Bertrand
Challenger Cassis · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
07/09 Pierre Antoine Tailleu
Challenger Cassis · Hard
2-1 16-18 W
06/09 Amit Vales
Challenger Cassis · Hard
2-1 17-14 W
28/08 Pierre Delage
M15 Cap d'Agde
1-2 15-15 L
27/08 Jaume Casas Blasi
M15 Cap d'Agde
2-1 18-12 W
25/08 Nazim Makhlouf
M15 Cap d'Agde
2-1 15-9 W
21/08 Pavel Lagutin
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
1-2 10-16 L
20/08 Abdulhamid Mubarak
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-0 12-3 W
19/08 Maxwell McKennon
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-1 16-12 W

Henri Haupt

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Svyatoslav Gulin
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
18/08 Daniel Verbeek
M15 Lambermont
0-2 5-12 L
17/08 Matthew Carroll
M15 Lambermont
2-1 9-7 W
16/08 Ryan Ndualu
M15 Lambermont
2-0 12-4 W
12/08 Nikola Slavic
M15 Malmo
0-2 9-13 L
11/08 Emil Kindhult
M15 Malmo
2-1 14-12 W
10/08 John Gabelic
M15 Malmo
2-1 11-10 W
04/08 Adan Freire Da Silva
M15 Frankfurt
0-2 7-12 L
27/07 Rafael Ymer
M25 Gentofte
0-2 2-12 L
26/07 Rasmus Hembo Mathiasen
M25 Gentofte
2-0 13-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mathieu Scaglia vs Henri Haupt?

Our model gives 72% to Mathieu Scaglia, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.