Tennis · M15 Heraklion · 07/10, 09:00
Prediction: Melios Efstathiou vs Finn Murgett
Team pages: Melios Efstathiou · Finn Murgett
Prediction summary
Winner
Melios Efstathiou
Finn Murgett
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Melios Efstathiou
6-4 (W-L)
Finn Murgett
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Melios Efstathiou 1530 · Finn Murgett 1557
| Melios Efstathiou | Finn Murgett | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Melios Efstathiou | Finn Murgett | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.7 | 11.3-9.2 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 57.3% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Melios Efstathiou
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Georgii Kravchenko Davis Cup |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Oleksii Krutykh Davis Cup |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Leonardo Rossi M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/09 | Filippo Moroni M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Pozzuoli |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 10/09 | Mariano Tammaro M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Oskari Paldanius M15 Turku |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Kacper Szymkowiak M15 Turku |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Luca Castagnola M15 Nova Gorica |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 16/07 | Alexander Gschiel M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Finn Murgett
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Michael Agwi M25 Setubal |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/09 | Diogo Marques M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/09 | Miguel Semedo M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Robin Bertrand M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Gian Luca Tanner M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/09 | Valentin Vanta M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Goncalo Marques M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Ryan Colby M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Diogo Marques M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Melios Efstathiou vs Finn Murgett?
Our model gives 54% to Finn Murgett, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.