Tennis · WTA Samsun · 06/10, 13:30
Prediction: Leolia Jeanjean vs Mariam Bolkvadze
Team pages: Leolia Jeanjean · Mariam Bolkvadze
Prediction summary
Winner
Leolia Jeanjean
Mariam Bolkvadze
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Leolia Jeanjean
5-5 (W-L)
Mariam Bolkvadze
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Leolia Jeanjean
0–1
Mariam Bolkvadze
(1 last)
- 27 Oct0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leolia Jeanjean 1594 · Mariam Bolkvadze 1524
| Leolia Jeanjean | Mariam Bolkvadze | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leolia Jeanjean (rating 1594 vs 1524).
- Leolia Jeanjean is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Leolia Jeanjean 0–1 Mariam Bolkvadze (1).
- Note: Mariam Bolkvadze makes many double faults (7.9/match).
Statistics
| Leolia Jeanjean | Mariam Bolkvadze | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-11.9 | 10.8-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 7.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 55.9% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 42.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
H2H · Leolia Jeanjean 0 – 1 Mariam Bolkvadze (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leolia Jeanjean 0–1 Mariam Bolkvadze
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/21 ITF W80 Poitiers | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leolia Jeanjean
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Lois Boisson WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 03/10 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 02/10 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 30/09 | Melisa Ercan WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 28/09 | Suzan Lamens WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 11/09 | Claire Liu WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Julieta Pareja WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 08/09 | Carolina Alves WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Anastasia Potapova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Mariam Bolkvadze
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Mariia Tkacheva WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 04/10 | Alya Naz Altinel WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/08 | Anouk Koevermans US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Alevtina Ibragimova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Erika Andreeva US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Kallista Liu W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 20/07 | Kaitlyn Carnicella W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Ashlyn Krueger Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Ajla Tomljanovic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leolia Jeanjean vs Mariam Bolkvadze?
Our model gives 65% to Leolia Jeanjean, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.