Tennis · W35 Wagga Wagga · 06/10, 01:00
Prediction: Sera Nishimoto vs Rira Kosaka
Team pages: Sera Nishimoto · Rira Kosaka
Prediction summary
Winner
Sera Nishimoto
Rira Kosaka
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Sera Nishimoto
3-7 (W-L)
Rira Kosaka
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sera Nishimoto 1431 · Rira Kosaka 1516
| Sera Nishimoto | Rira Kosaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rira Kosaka (rating 1431 vs 1516).
- Rira Kosaka is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Sera Nishimoto makes many double faults (4.1/match).
- Note: Rira Kosaka makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Sera Nishimoto | Rira Kosaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.2-11.3 | 10.4-10.5 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 53% | 58.4% |
| Break % | 42% | 44.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sera Nishimoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Tiana Tian Deng W50 Nanao |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Hee Rae Im W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 0-9 | L |
| 11/08 | Onyu Choi W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 05/08 | Meiqi Guo W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Minxu Zhou W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Kristina Kroitor W15 Astana |
0-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Maria Sholokhova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Nina Sozaonova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Sae Noguchi W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Rira Kosaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Haruna Arakawa W35 Wagga Wagga |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 29/09 | Remika Ohashi W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Sayaka Ishii W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Natsuho Arakawa W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 10/09 | Kisa Yoshioka W15 Yeongwol |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/09 | Hee Won Ju W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/09 | Eun Ji Lee W15 Yeongwol |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 16/07 | Junhan Zhang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Liuyan An W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/07 | Xin Tong Wang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sera Nishimoto vs Rira Kosaka?
Our model gives 55% to Rira Kosaka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.