Tennis · W35 Wagga Wagga · 08/10, 01:00

Prediction: Haruka Kaji vs Jasmine Adams

Team pages: Haruka Kaji · Jasmine Adams

Prediction summary
Winner
69% 31%
Haruka Kaji Jasmine Adams
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Haruka Kaji 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWWWLLLW
Jasmine Adams 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLLWLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Haruka Kaji 1481 · Jasmine Adams 1549
Haruka KajiJasmine Adams
Our model40%60%
Market93%7%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jasmine Adams (rating 1481 vs 1549).
  • Jasmine Adams is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Haruka KajiJasmine Adams
Win %40%70%
Win % · Hard 0% (2) 80% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.21.6-0.9
Games (G-P)9.9-10.810.7-8.3
Aces11.4
Double faults2.62.4
1st serve %57%61.7%
Break %59.4%60.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Haruka Kaji

WLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/10 Rira Kosaka
W35 Wagga Wagga
2-0 12-3 W
28/09 Emerson Jones
WTA Jingshan · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
19/09 Darya Astakhova
WTA Seoul · Hard
1-2 11-18 L
10/09 Alexandra Shubladze
W50 Guiyang
0-2 4-12 L
08/09 Anastasia Kulikova
W50 Guiyang
2-0 12-4 W
03/09 Han Shi
W75 Tianjin
1-2 11-16 L
02/09 Yufei Ren
W75 Tianjin
2-0 13-6 W
27/08 Elena Milovanovic
W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 13-15 L
25/08 Amandine Hesse
W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
20/08 Lidia Encheva
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Jasmine Adams

WLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/10 Amy Stevens
W35 Wagga Wagga
2-1 15-13 W
06/10 Ai Maruyama
W35 Wagga Wagga
2-1 11-8 W
28/07 Olivia Symons
W15 Brisbane
1-2 7-11 L
15/07 Lily Fairclough
W15 Brisbane
1-2 13-16 L
14/07 Bianca Compuesto
W15 Brisbane
2-0 8-4 W
14/05 Isabella Crossman
UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard
2-1 15-11 W
13/05 Kaylah McPhee
UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
12/05 Sara Mickoska
UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard
2-0 12-0 W
11/05 Mahta Khanloo
UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
10/05 Charlotte Vanstone Mcgrath
UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Haruka Kaji vs Jasmine Adams?

Our model gives 69% to Haruka Kaji, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.