Tennis · W35 Wagga Wagga · 08/10, 01:00
Prediction: Haruna Arakawa vs Tori Russell
Team pages: Haruna Arakawa · Tori Russell
Prediction summary
Winner
Haruna Arakawa
Tori Russell
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Haruna Arakawa
5-5 (W-L)
Tori Russell
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Haruna Arakawa 1511 · Tori Russell 1515
| Haruna Arakawa | Tori Russell | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Haruna Arakawa | Tori Russell | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-10.9 | 11-11.5 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 52.4% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 38.7% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Haruna Arakawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Alana Subasic W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Naho Sato W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Rira Kosaka W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 23/09 | Hiromi Abe W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Natsumi Kawaguchi W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Hee Rae Im W35 Kyoto |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/09 | Riko Kikawada W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Clarissa Blomqvist W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 27/08 | Luisa Schruff W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Ophelia Korpanec Davies W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Tori Russell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Yuhan Liu W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Stefani Webb W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 22/07 | Belle Thompson W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Destanee Aiava W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Fang An Lin W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Shiho Shibata W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/07 | Grace Cadwallader W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/02 | Ying Zhang W75 Brisbane |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/02 | Sarah Rokusek W75 Brisbane |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 08/02 | Alicia Smith W75 Brisbane Qual |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Haruna Arakawa vs Tori Russell?
Our model gives 56% to Haruna Arakawa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.