Tennis · W35 Wagga Wagga · 07/10, 02:00
Prediction: Alana Subasic vs Haruna Arakawa
Team pages: Alana Subasic · Haruna Arakawa
Prediction summary
Winner
Alana Subasic
Haruna Arakawa
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Alana Subasic
8-2 (W-L)
Haruna Arakawa
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alana Subasic 1521 · Haruna Arakawa 1486
| Alana Subasic | Haruna Arakawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alana Subasic | Haruna Arakawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-8.3 | 8.4-11.4 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.5% | 52% |
| Break % | 54.3% | 34.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alana Subasic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Nana Onozawa W35 Wagga Wagga |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 17/07 | Belle Thompson W15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Angel Warang W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Mana Kawamura W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/06 | Duru Soke W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Kateryna Lazarenko W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Deniz Dilek W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Ayline Esina Samardzic W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Berrak Kocak W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/06 | Adelina Lachinova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
Haruna Arakawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Naho Sato W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Rira Kosaka W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 23/09 | Hiromi Abe W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Natsumi Kawaguchi W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Hee Rae Im W35 Kyoto |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/09 | Riko Kikawada W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Clarissa Blomqvist W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 27/08 | Luisa Schruff W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Ophelia Korpanec Davies W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 16/08 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alana Subasic vs Haruna Arakawa?
Our model gives 57% to Alana Subasic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.