Tennis · M15 Monastir · 07/10, 10:30
Prediction: Andrea Colombo vs Luca Wiedenmann
Team pages: Andrea Colombo · Luca Wiedenmann
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea Colombo
Luca Wiedenmann
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Colombo
7-3 (W-L)
Luca Wiedenmann
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Andrea Colombo
0–1
Luca Wiedenmann
(1 last)
- 01 May1-2 12-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Colombo 1487 · Luca Wiedenmann 1474
| Andrea Colombo | Luca Wiedenmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Andrea Colombo dominates on serve: 6 aces and 41% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Andrea Colombo 0–1 Luca Wiedenmann (1).
Statistics
| Andrea Colombo | Luca Wiedenmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-13 | 9.8-11.2 |
| Aces | 6 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 41% | 33.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
H2H · Andrea Colombo 0 – 1 Luca Wiedenmann (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Andrea Colombo 0–1 Luca Wiedenmann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 M15 Monastir | 1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Colombo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Ewen Lumsden M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 25/09 | Samuel Vincent Ruggeri M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Jaden Weekes M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Charles Chen M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 10/09 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Pozzuoli |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Filippo Pecorini M25 Pozzuoli |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 31/08 | Olle Wallin Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 30/08 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/08 | Goncalo Marques M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 21/08 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Luca Wiedenmann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Henry Bernet Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Louis Wessels M25 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Sander Jong M25 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 27/08 | Sebastian Heinrich M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Matteo Covato M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 16/08 | Timeo Gaillard Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Colombo vs Luca Wiedenmann?
Our model gives 54% to Luca Wiedenmann, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.