Tennis · M15 Monastir · 16/10, 10:30

Prediction: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Luca Wiedenmann

Team pages: Samir Hamza Reguig · Luca Wiedenmann

Prediction summary
Winner
34% 66%
Samir Hamza Reguig Luca Wiedenmann
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Samir Hamza Reguig 7-3 (W-L)
LWWLWWWLWW
Luca Wiedenmann 4-6 (W-L)
LLLLLWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Samir Hamza Reguig 1542 · Luca Wiedenmann 1524
Samir Hamza ReguigLuca Wiedenmann
Our model53%47%
Market19%81%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Samir Hamza ReguigLuca Wiedenmann
Win %60%50%
Win % · Hard 67% (9) 80% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.91-1.2
Games (G-P)11.4-9.910.4-10.1
Aces31.5
Double faults3.51.9
1st serve %68.8%64.9%
Break %61.3%40.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Samir Hamza Reguig

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/10 Kaan Isik Kosaner
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
14/10 Adam Lynch
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 16-12 W
01/10 Carles Hernandez
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
30/09 Benoit Torcq
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
24/09 Romain Faucon
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
1-2 15-16 L
23/09 Darsh Sachin Patel
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
10/09 Jay Friend
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
08/09 Emirhan Bulut
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
07/09 Benjamin Hassan
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
30/08 Aleksandar Tolev
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
1-2 14-17 L

Luca Wiedenmann

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/10 Kris Van Wyk
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
14/10 Fnu Nidunjianzan
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
09/10 John Echeverria
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
08/10 Isaac Nortey
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
06/10 Andrea Colombo
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 17-9 W
21/09 Yanaki Milev
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
13/09 Federico Iannaccone
Challenger Biella · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
06/09 Henry Bernet
Challenger Tulln · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
29/08 Louis Wessels
M25 Oldenzaal
0-2 10-13 L
28/08 Sander Jong
M25 Oldenzaal
2-1 17-15 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Samir Hamza Reguig vs Luca Wiedenmann?

Our model gives 66% to Luca Wiedenmann, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.