Tennis · M15 Monastir · 07/10, 10:30

Prediction: Aziz Ouakaa vs Liam Branger

Team pages: Aziz Ouakaa · Liam Branger

Prediction summary
Winner
51% 49%
Aziz Ouakaa Liam Branger
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Aziz Ouakaa 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLLLWWW
Liam Branger 8-2 (W-L)
WWWLWLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aziz Ouakaa 1478 · Liam Branger 1528
Aziz OuakaaLiam Branger
Our model43%57%
Market58%42%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Liam Branger (rating 1478 vs 1528).

Statistics

Aziz OuakaaLiam Branger
Win %40%60%
Win % · Hard 40% (10) 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.21.5-0.9
Games (G-P)9.6-9.312.2-11
Aces5.43.6
Double faults3.22.2
1st serve %67.2%71.9%
Break %42.9%43.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aziz Ouakaa

LLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/10 Emilien Demanet
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 12-15 L
01/10 Remy Dugardin
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
30/09 Victor Ryden
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
23/09 Pietro Orlando Fellin
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 6-11 L
09/09 Josh Manuel
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
04/09 Jorge Plans
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
03/09 Bora Sengul
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
02/09 Rahul Dhokia
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
11/08 Jie Cui
Challenger Astana · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
02/08 Hunter Heck
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Liam Branger

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/10 Kris Van Wyk
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 12-14 L
01/10 Melih Anavatan
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
30/09 Rocco Piatti
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
25/09 Etienne Donnet
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 16-18 L
24/09 Peter Makk
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 16-13 W
23/09 Kristijonas Milasauskas
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
16/09 Leonardo Rossi
M25 Nevers
0-2 7-12 L
03/09 Raphael Perot
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
1-2 9-16 L
02/09 Yannis Batsabaken
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-0 13-9 W
31/08 Martin Simon
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aziz Ouakaa vs Liam Branger?

Our model gives 51% to Aziz Ouakaa, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.