Tennis · W15 Chisinau · 05/10, 09:00
Prediction: Sophie Luescher vs Nala Kovacic
Team pages: Sophie Luescher · Nala Kovacic
Prediction summary
Winner
Sophie Luescher
Nala Kovacic
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Sophie Luescher
6-4 (W-L)
Nala Kovacic
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sophie Luescher 1530 · Nala Kovacic 1430
| Sophie Luescher | Nala Kovacic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sophie Luescher (rating 1530 vs 1430).
- Sophie Luescher is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Nala Kovacic makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Sophie Luescher | Nala Kovacic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 0.5-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-8.1 | 5.8-11.3 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.5% | 45.6% |
| Break % | 58.2% | 36.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sophie Luescher
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard W15 Dijon |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Meline Lataste W15 Dijon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Aurora Zurmuehle W15 Dijon |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/09 | Patricia Ordonez Anduiza W15 Dijon |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 01/09 | Marine Szostak W15 Cap d'Agde |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 23/08 | Karolina Kozakova W35 Verbier Qual |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Dimitra Pavlou W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Ustiniya Lekomtseva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Noemi La Cagnina W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Verica Zrnic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Nala Kovacic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Valentina Merku W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 30/07 | Federica Trevisan W15 Rogaska Slatina |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Maria Andrienko W15 Krsko |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Marie Mettraux W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Eva Kaliadina W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Ella Haavisto W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Carolina Dibenedetto W15 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Julia Stamatova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Aleksandra Mateva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/03 | Alina Nesmianovych UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sophie Luescher vs Nala Kovacic?
Our model gives 76% to Sophie Luescher, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.