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Tennis · Challenger Antofagasta · 05/10, 15:00

Prediction: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez

Team pages: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo · Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez

Prediction summary
Winner
73% 27%
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 8-2 (W-L)
WLWWWWWWLW
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLWLWWLW
Head-to-head
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 2–3 Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez (5 last)
  • 19 Jul2-0 12-4W
  • 16 Feb2-0 12-5W
  • 17 Aug1-2 17-18L
  • 03 Aug1-2 12-18L
  • 03 Jul1-2 15-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 1620 · Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 1513
Joaquin Aguillar CardozoLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Our model65%35%
Market79%21%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo (rating 1620 vs 1513).
  • Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo is in better form: 90% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 2–3 Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez (5).

Statistics

Joaquin Aguillar CardozoLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Win %90%60%
Win % · Clay 86% (7) 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.51.2-0.8
Games (G-P)13.4-8.110.5-8.1
Aces0.61.6
Double faults1.61.9
1st serve %67.3%66.3%
Break %52.7%62.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

H2H · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 2 – 3 Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez (5)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 2–3 Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez

Swipe the table sideways →

DateSetsGamesRes.
19/07/26
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-012-4W
16/02/26
Challenger Tigre
2-012-5W
17/08/25
UTR Pro Cordoba
1-217-18L
03/08/25
ITF M15 Santiago
1-212-18L
03/07/25
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy
1-215-19L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/10 Santiago De La Fuente
Challenger Antofagasta · Clay
 2-1 18-8 W
26/09 Alex Barrena
Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay
 0-2 7-12 L
25/09 Juan Pablo Varillas
Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay
 2-0 12-6 W
24/09 Francisco Comesana
Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay
 2-1 19-16 W
22/09 Carlos Maria Zarate
Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay
 2-0 12-3 W
21/09 Federico Aguilar Cardozo
Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay
 2-0 13-9 W
21/09 Mateo Del Pino
Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay
 2-0 12-3 W
30/08 Carlos Maria Zarate
M15 Mar Del Plata
 2-0 12-4 W
29/08 Gonzalo Villanueva
M15 Mar Del Plata
 2-1 17-16 W
28/08 Lorenzo Gagliardo
M15 Mar Del Plata
 2-0 12-4 W

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/10 Franco Ribero
Challenger Antofagasta · Clay
 2-0 12-5 W
29/09 Tomas Barrios Vera
Challenger Curitiba · Clay
 0-2 2-12 L
28/09 Wilson Leite
Challenger Curitiba · Clay
 2-0 13-7 W
27/09 Bruno Milani
Challenger Curitiba · Clay
 2-0 12-2 W
22/09 Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay
 0-2 12-14 L
21/09 Tadeo Meneo
Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay
 2-0 12-6 W
04/08 Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
M25 Londrina
 0-2 8-12 L
25/07 Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M25 Sao Paulo
 0-2 10-13 L
24/07 Jose Pereira
M25 Sao Paulo
 2-0 12-6 W
23/07 Nicolas Zanellato
M25 Sao Paulo
 2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez?

Our model gives 73% to Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.