Tennis · WTA Samsun · 05/10, 10:30
Prediction: Caroline Werner vs Weronika Falkowska
Team pages: Caroline Werner · Weronika Falkowska
Prediction summary
Winner
Caroline Werner
Weronika Falkowska
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Caroline Werner
4-6 (W-L)
Weronika Falkowska
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Caroline Werner 1460 · Weronika Falkowska 1508
| Caroline Werner | Weronika Falkowska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Weronika Falkowska (rating 1460 vs 1508).
- Note: Weronika Falkowska makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Caroline Werner | Weronika Falkowska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-12.3 | 11.6-11.6 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 46.5% | 35.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Caroline Werner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Ekaterina Yashina WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 30/09 | Eva Vedder W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 22/09 | Valentina Steiner WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Malaika Rapolu WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Hannah Klugman W50 Leiria |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 04/09 | Oceane Dodin W50 Leiria |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Elena Micic W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/09 | Veronika Podrez W50 Leiria |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 22/08 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Laura Pigossi W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
Weronika Falkowska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Doga Turkmen WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Polina Iatcenko WTA Ankara · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Ilay Yoruk WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/09 | Alana Smith WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Laura Samsonova WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 15/09 | Kristina Novak WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 07/09 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Antalya · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Anastasia Zolotareva W75 Bytom |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 19/08 | Lisa Zaar W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Warsaw · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Caroline Werner vs Weronika Falkowska?
Our model gives 56% to Weronika Falkowska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.