Tennis · WTA Samsun · 05/10, 13:00
Prediction: Polina Iatcenko vs Suzan Lamens
Team pages: Polina Iatcenko · Suzan Lamens
Prediction summary
Winner
Polina Iatcenko
Suzan Lamens
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Polina Iatcenko
5-5 (W-L)
Suzan Lamens
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polina Iatcenko 1532 · Suzan Lamens 1473
| Polina Iatcenko | Suzan Lamens | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Polina Iatcenko (rating 1532 vs 1473).
- Polina Iatcenko is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Polina Iatcenko makes many double faults (4.2/match).
- Note: Suzan Lamens makes many double faults (8/match).
Statistics
| Polina Iatcenko | Suzan Lamens | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.8 | 11.9-12.6 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 66% |
| Break % | 46.4% | 44.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polina Iatcenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Erika Andreeva WTA Adana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Ankara · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 25/09 | Ksenia Zaytseva WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Weronika Falkowska WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/09 | Viktoria Hruncakova WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Aryna Sabalenka US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Renata Zarazua US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 27/08 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Lucia Bronzetti US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Julie Struplova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Suzan Lamens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Adana · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 19/09 | Nadia Podoroska WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 17/09 | Solana Sierra WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Carolina Alves WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 07/09 | Kayla Day WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Arantxa Rus US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Emerson Jones US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Elena Pridankina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Amelia Rajecki Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Paula Badosa WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polina Iatcenko vs Suzan Lamens?
Our model gives 55% to Polina Iatcenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.