Tennis · WTA Samsun · 06/10, 10:00
Prediction: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Carole Monnet
Team pages: Lucrezia Stefanini · Carole Monnet
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucrezia Stefanini
Carole Monnet
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Lucrezia Stefanini
4-6 (W-L)
Carole Monnet
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lucrezia Stefanini
0–1
Carole Monnet
(1 last)
- 25 Apr0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucrezia Stefanini 1519 · Carole Monnet 1484
| Lucrezia Stefanini | Carole Monnet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Lucrezia Stefanini 0–1 Carole Monnet (1).
- Note: Carole Monnet makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Lucrezia Stefanini | Carole Monnet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.1 | 11.7-11 |
| Aces | 0 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 6.2 |
| 1st serve % | 56.9% | 58.9% |
| Break % | 53.3% | 49.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Lucrezia Stefanini 0 – 1 Carole Monnet (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucrezia Stefanini 0–1 Carole Monnet
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/24 ITF W100 Oeiras | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucrezia Stefanini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Adana · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Cagla Buyukakcay WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 28/09 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 15/09 | Nadia Podoroska WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Jasmine Paolini US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Dayana Yastremska US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Julieta Pareja US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Madison Brengle US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Ayla Aksu US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Carole Monnet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Cagla Buyukakcay WTA Adana · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 24/09 | Anastasia Gasanova WTA Ankara · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Fiona Crawley WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Sloane Stephens WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Katrina Scott WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 12/09 | Julia Garcia Ruiz WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Anouk Koevermans US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 28/07 | Miriam Bulgaru WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucrezia Stefanini vs Carole Monnet?
Our model gives 66% to Lucrezia Stefanini, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.