Tennis · WTA Samsun · 06/10, 10:00
Prediction: Aysegul Mert vs Viktoria Hruncakova
Team pages: Aysegul Mert · Viktoria Hruncakova
Prediction summary
Winner
Aysegul Mert
Viktoria Hruncakova
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Aysegul Mert
6-4 (W-L)
Viktoria Hruncakova
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aysegul Mert 1539 · Viktoria Hruncakova 1462
| Aysegul Mert | Viktoria Hruncakova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aysegul Mert (rating 1539 vs 1462).
- Aysegul Mert is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Aysegul Mert makes many double faults (7.2/match).
- Note: Viktoria Hruncakova makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Aysegul Mert | Viktoria Hruncakova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.6 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-7.2 | 8.6-11.8 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 7.2 | 6.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 66% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 33.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aysegul Mert
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Anastasia Tikhonova WTA Adana · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Berfu Cengiz WTA Ankara · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Isabella Shinikova WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 04/06 | Anastasia Kulikova W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-1 | 2-6 | L |
| 03/06 | Katherine Sebov W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/06 | Marine Szostak W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 31/05 | Aleksandra Iankovskaia W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/01 | Deniz Dilek UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/01 | Kaitlyn Carnicella UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/01 | Ahniya Vustsina UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Viktoria Hruncakova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Anna Blinkova WTA Adana · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Anastasia Tikhonova WTA Adana · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Jaeda Daniel WTA Adana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/09 | Polina Iatcenko WTA Ankara · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Susan Bandecchi WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Erika Andreeva WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Susan Bandecchi US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Julia Riera US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Susan Bandecchi WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Amelia Rajecki W50 Dublin |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aysegul Mert vs Viktoria Hruncakova?
Our model gives 57% to Viktoria Hruncakova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.