Tennis · WTA Samsun · 05/10, 11:30

Prediction: Lucia Bronzetti vs Fiona Crawley

Team pages: Lucia Bronzetti · Fiona Crawley

Prediction summary
Winner
40% 60%
Lucia Bronzetti Fiona Crawley
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Lucia Bronzetti 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWWWLLWL
Fiona Crawley 6-4 (W-L)
WWWWWLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lucia Bronzetti 1505 · Fiona Crawley 1553
Lucia BronzettiFiona Crawley
Our model43%57%
Market38%63%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fiona Crawley (rating 1505 vs 1553).

Statistics

Lucia BronzettiFiona Crawley
Win %50%70%
Win % · Clay 63% (8) –
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.21.6-0.8
Games (G-P)10.6-10.712.4-9.5
Aces1.61.2
Double faults3.13.3
1st serve %59.7%64.6%
Break %47.2%47.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lucia Bronzetti

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/09 Lois Boisson
WTA Adana · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
07/09 Irene Burillo Escorihuela
WTA Antalya · Clay
1-2 13-15 L
26/08 Polina Iatcenko
US Open Women · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
01/08 Laura Samsonova
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
31/07 Sara Sorribes Tormo
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
2-1 15-14 W
30/07 Alevtina Ibragimova
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
28/07 Miriana Tona
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
25/07 Fiona Ferro
WTA Palermo · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
24/07 Yasmine Kabbaj
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-1 14-9 W
23/07 Dalila Spiteri
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-0 12-8 W

Fiona Crawley

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/09 Elena Pridankina
WTA Adana · Hard
1-2 15-15 L
28/09 Noma Noha Akugue
WTA Adana · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
27/09 Lois Boisson
WTA Adana · Hard
2-1 15-14 W
26/09 Adelina Lachinova
WTA Adana · Hard
2-1 16-12 W
22/09 Carole Monnet
WTA Ankara · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
20/09 Anna Siskova
W75 Le Neubourg
1-2 14-17 L
19/09 Manon Leonard
W75 Le Neubourg
2-0 8-3 W
18/09 Julia Avdeeva
W75 Le Neubourg
2-0 12-5 W
17/09 Naiktha Bains
W75 Le Neubourg
2-0 13-9 W
16/09 Sahaja Yamalapalli
W75 Le Neubourg
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lucia Bronzetti vs Fiona Crawley?

Our model gives 60% to Fiona Crawley, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.