Tennis · WTA Samsun · 06/10, 10:00
Prediction: Emiliana Arango vs Ayla Aksu
Team pages: Emiliana Arango · Ayla Aksu
Prediction summary
Winner
Emiliana Arango
Ayla Aksu
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Emiliana Arango
2-8 (W-L)
Ayla Aksu
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emiliana Arango 1462 · Ayla Aksu 1440
| Emiliana Arango | Ayla Aksu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Emiliana Arango makes many double faults (4.5/match).
- Note: Ayla Aksu makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Emiliana Arango | Ayla Aksu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11.1 | 10-13.1 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 57.7% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 61.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emiliana Arango
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Anna Blinkova WTA Adana · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Peyton Stearns WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/09 | Maria Paulina Perez Garcia WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/08 | Xinyu Wang US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Panna Udvardy WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 16/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Venus Williams WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Nadia Podoroska WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Ayla Aksu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Elena Pridankina WTA Adana · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Han Shi WTA Ankara · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 21/09 | Yuki Naito WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Elena Malygina WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Alana Smith W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Allegra Korpanec Davies W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 22/07 | Daria Snigur WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 19/07 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emiliana Arango vs Ayla Aksu?
Our model gives 60% to Emiliana Arango, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.