Tennis · WTA Samsun · 04/10, 13:00
Prediction: Adelina Lachinova vs Alana Smith
Team pages: Adelina Lachinova · Alana Smith
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Prediction summary
Winner
Adelina Lachinova
Alana Smith
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Adelina Lachinova
5-5 (W-L)
Alana Smith
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adelina Lachinova 1500 · Alana Smith 1509
| Adelina Lachinova | Alana Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Adelina Lachinova | Alana Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-9.5 | 10.3-9.7 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 56.1% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adelina Lachinova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Fiona Crawley WTA Adana · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 06/09 | Rositsa Dencheva WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Amy Sucha W35 Bydgoszcz |
0-1 | 0-6 | L |
| 11/08 | Veronika Kulhava W35 Bydgoszcz |
2-1 | 11-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Julia Adams W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 18/06 | Alana Subasic W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 17/06 | Liliya Piskun W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/05 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Danka Kovinic WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 10/04 | Irem Kurt Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Alana Smith
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Weronika Falkowska WTA Ankara · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Duru Arslan WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/08 | Susan Bandecchi W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Julia Avdeeva W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Katarina Kujovic W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Ayla Aksu W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Yuno Kitahara W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Yue Yuan WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Daria Gorska WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adelina Lachinova vs Alana Smith?
Our model gives 55% to Alana Smith, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.