Tennis · Challenger Antofagasta · 06/10, 15:00
Prediction: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Valerio Aboian
Team pages: Genaro Alberto Olivieri · Valerio Aboian
Prediction summary
Winner
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Valerio Aboian
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
4-6 (W-L)
Valerio Aboian
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
1–1
Valerio Aboian
(2 last)
- 22 Sept1-2 11-13L
- 24 Apr2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Genaro Alberto Olivieri 1493 · Valerio Aboian 1549
| Genaro Alberto Olivieri | Valerio Aboian | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valerio Aboian (rating 1493 vs 1549).
- Valerio Aboian is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Genaro Alberto Olivieri | Valerio Aboian | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.5-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-12.8 | 12.4-11.4 |
| Aces | 1 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 59.5% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 34.3% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
H2H · Genaro Alberto Olivieri 1 – 1 Valerio Aboian (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Genaro Alberto Olivieri 1–1 Valerio Aboian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/26 Challenger Buenos Aires | 1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 24/04/24 Challenger Concepcion | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 22/09 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 10/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Dali Blanch Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 01/09 | Niels Visker Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 26/08 | Tomas Barrios Vera US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Guy Den Ouden US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 30/07 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Valerio Aboian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 21/09 | Matias Franco Descotte Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 20/09 | Julian Cundom Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 11/09 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 07/09 | Lorenzo Rottoli Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Luca Castagnola Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 05/09 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Valerio Aboian?
Our model gives 52% to Genaro Alberto Olivieri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.