Tennis · Challenger Antofagasta · 06/10, 15:00

Prediction: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Nick Hardt

Team pages: Gonzalo Villanueva · Nick Hardt

Prediction summary
Winner
47% 53%
Gonzalo Villanueva Nick Hardt
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Gonzalo Villanueva 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWWWLLWL
Nick Hardt 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLLWLWW
Head-to-head
Gonzalo Villanueva 2–1 Nick Hardt (3 last)
  • 07 Jun1-2 13-14L
  • 26 Apr2-1 15-16W
  • 25 Sept2-1 17-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gonzalo Villanueva 1528 · Nick Hardt 1496
Gonzalo VillanuevaNick Hardt
Our model55%45%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Gonzalo Villanueva 2–1 Nick Hardt (3).
  • Note: Nick Hardt makes many double faults (5.3/match).

Statistics

Gonzalo VillanuevaNick Hardt
Win %60%50%
Win % · Clay 50% (6) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.91.2-1.3
Games (G-P)11.4-9.811.5-11.8
Aces1.72.1
Double faults3.15.3
1st serve %64.1%66.7%
Break %50.7%42.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.4

H2H · Gonzalo Villanueva 2 – 1 Nick Hardt (3)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gonzalo Villanueva 2–1 Nick Hardt

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DateSetsGamesRes.
07/06/26
M25 Cuiaba
1-213-14L
26/04/23
Challenger Buenos Aires
2-115-16W
25/09/18
ITF Peru F1
2-117-12W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gonzalo Villanueva

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/10 Guido Ivan Justo
Challenger Curitiba · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
01/10 Mateus Alves
Challenger Curitiba · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
30/09 Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Challenger Curitiba · Clay
2-1 15-13 W
22/09 Guido Ivan Justo
Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay
1-2 11-15 L
29/08 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
M15 Mar Del Plata
1-2 16-17 L
28/08 Santiago De La Fuente
M15 Mar Del Plata
2-0 13-10 W
27/08 Vito Antonio Darderi
M15 Mar Del Plata
2-0 12-8 W
26/08 Leonel Cesar Castro
M15 Mar Del Plata
2-0 13-5 W
22/08 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
21/08 Dakotah Bobo
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W

Nick Hardt

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/09 Marco Cecchinato
Challenger Porto · Clay
1-2 9-16 L
25/08 Kai Wehnelt
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
1-2 11-14 L
19/08 Oleksii Krutykh
Challenger Prague · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
17/08 Jakub Filip
Challenger Prague · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
10/08 Marco Cecchinato
Challenger Todi · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
09/07 Lorenzo Claverie
Challenger Bogota · Clay
0-2 12-14 L
07/07 Alex Hernandez
Challenger Bogota · Clay
2-1 17-14 W
26/06 Wilson Leite
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
25/06 Nicolas Oliveira
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
2-1 14-14 W
20/06 Juan Estevez
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
2-1 17-14 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gonzalo Villanueva vs Nick Hardt?

Our model gives 53% to Nick Hardt, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.