Tennis · Challenger Antofagasta · 06/10, 15:00

Prediction: Murkel Dellien vs Juan Estevez

Team pages: Murkel Dellien · Juan Estevez

Prediction summary
Winner
43% 57%
Murkel Dellien Juan Estevez
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Murkel Dellien 3-7 (W-L)
LWLLLLLWWL
Juan Estevez 4-6 (W-L)
LWWWLLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Murkel Dellien 1432 · Juan Estevez 1438
Murkel DellienJuan Estevez
Our model49%51%
Market38%63%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Murkel DellienJuan Estevez
Win %30%30%
Win % · Clay 14% (7) 20% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.61.1-1.5
Games (G-P)9.4-12.511.3-12.3
Aces1.31
Double faults3.81.7
1st serve %63.2%65.2%
Break %28.1%36.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Murkel Dellien

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/09 Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Challenger Curitiba · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
23/09 Juan Pablo Varillas
Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay
1-2 15-17 L
22/09 Hernan Casanova
Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
25/08 Benito Sanchez Martinez
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
18/08 Ryan Nijboer
Challenger Sion · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
10/08 Daniel Elahi Galan
Challenger Todi · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
04/08 Adrian Andreev
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
31/07 Jack Loge
M25 Wetzlar
0-2 4-12 L
30/07 Lars Goran Verwerft
M25 Wetzlar
2-1 19-14 W
29/07 Jip Van Assendelft
M25 Wetzlar
2-1 16-13 W

Juan Estevez

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/09 Francisco Comesana
Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay
1-2 9-16 L
01/09 Federico Iannaccone
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
1-2 10-16 L
26/08 Benito Sanchez Martinez
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
24/08 Andrej Nedic
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
2-1 14-13 W
18/08 Geoffrey Blancaneaux
Challenger Sion · Clay
1-2 12-16 L
13/08 Nico Hipfl
M25 Muttenz
1-2 19-20 L
12/08 Alex Bergomi
M25 Muttenz
2-0 12-0 W
05/08 Juan Sebastian Osorio
M25 Londrina
1-2 14-16 L
04/08 Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago
M25 Londrina
2-0 12-2 W
24/07 Lucas Andrade da Silva
M25 Sao Paulo
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Murkel Dellien vs Juan Estevez?

Our model gives 57% to Juan Estevez, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.