Tennis · Challenger Antofagasta · 06/10, 15:00
Prediction: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Matias Soto
Team pages: Thiago Seyboth Wild · Matias Soto
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Matias Soto
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Seyboth Wild
8-2 (W-L)
Matias Soto
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Seyboth Wild 1634 · Matias Soto 1466
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | Matias Soto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 28% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thiago Seyboth Wild (rating 1634 vs 1466).
- Thiago Seyboth Wild is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | Matias Soto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 88% (8) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-8.2 | 8.5-11.1 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 3 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 78.3% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 32.1% | 38.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/09 | Matej Dodig Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 11/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Martin Krumich Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Mackenzie McDonald US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Raul Brancaccio US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Matias Soto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Martin Landaluce Davis Cup |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Matias Soto?
Our model gives 76% to Thiago Seyboth Wild, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.