Tennis · Challenger Antofagasta · 06/10, 15:00
Prediction: Samuel Heredia vs Eduardo Ribeiro
Team pages: Samuel Heredia · Eduardo Ribeiro
Prediction summary
Winner
Samuel Heredia
Eduardo Ribeiro
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Samuel Heredia
3-7 (W-L)
Eduardo Ribeiro
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Samuel Heredia
2–0
Eduardo Ribeiro
(2 last)
- 02 Jul2-0 12-8W
- 09 Jul2-0 11-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Samuel Heredia 1477 · Eduardo Ribeiro 1478
| Samuel Heredia | Eduardo Ribeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Samuel Heredia 2–0 Eduardo Ribeiro (2).
Statistics
| Samuel Heredia | Eduardo Ribeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-13.1 | 11.2-12.2 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 40.4% | 32% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
H2H · Samuel Heredia 2 – 0 Eduardo Ribeiro (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Samuel Heredia 2–0 Eduardo Ribeiro
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/26 Challenger Quito | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/07/25 ITF M25 Villavicencio | 2-0 | 11-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Samuel Heredia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Juan Sebastian Osorio Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 27/09 | Leonardo Storck Franca Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Jesper De Jong Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Laslo Djere Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Luca Potenza M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/07 | John Echeverria Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
Eduardo Ribeiro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Pedro Sakamoto Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Federico Coria Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Jelle Sels Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 30/08 | Nicolas Barrientos Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 17/08 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Niels McDonald Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Samuel Heredia vs Eduardo Ribeiro?
Our model gives 64% to Eduardo Ribeiro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.