Tennis · Challenger Antofagasta · 04/10, 16:30
Prediction: Nicolas Bruna vs Alan Magadan
Team pages: Nicolas Bruna · Alan Magadan
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolas Bruna
Alan Magadan
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolas Bruna
1-9 (W-L)
Alan Magadan
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolas Bruna 1386 · Alan Magadan 1546
| Nicolas Bruna | Alan Magadan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 72% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alan Magadan (rating 1386 vs 1546).
- Alan Magadan is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Nicolas Bruna | Alan Magadan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.9 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-14 | 13.4-10.9 |
| Aces | 4 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 73.6% |
| Break % | 30.9% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolas Bruna
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 08/09 | Rocco Valente M15 Leme |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 Trelew |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Maximo Zeitune M15 Mar Del Plata |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Nicolas Villalon M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Gonzalo Villanueva M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Fantino Alberca De Las Casas M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Fnu Nidunjianzan M25 Bacau |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Vladislav Melnic M15 Slobozia |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Matei Florin Breazu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Alan Magadan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Coleman Wong Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 20/08 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/08 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/07 | Alex Hernandez ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Garrett Johns ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Michael Zheng Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/07 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 19/07 | Owen Demuth Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolas Bruna vs Alan Magadan?
Our model gives 77% to Alan Magadan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.