Tennis · Challenger Antofagasta · 04/10, 16:30
Prediction: Bernardo Munk Mesa vs Bruno Fernandez
Team pages: Bernardo Munk Mesa · Bruno Fernandez
Prediction summary
Winner
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Bruno Fernandez
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Bernardo Munk Mesa
5-5 (W-L)
Bruno Fernandez
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bernardo Munk Mesa 1458 · Bruno Fernandez 1475
| Bernardo Munk Mesa | Bruno Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Bernardo Munk Mesa makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Bernardo Munk Mesa | Bruno Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-12 | 9.5-11.9 |
| Aces | 5.5 | 2 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 60.7% |
| Break % | 52.9% | 50.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 08/09 | Mario Arce Fernandez M25 Gijon |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 04/09 | Ryan Nijboer M15 Madrid |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 03/09 | Juan Ignacio Gallego M15 Madrid |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Carles Cordoba M15 Madrid |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Pedro Vives Marcos M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Michiel de Krom M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Santander |
1-1 | 8-9 | L |
| 18/08 | Yanaki Milev M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Philip Henning M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Bruno Fernandez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Wilson Leite Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 28/09 | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 27/09 | Federico Zeballos Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 22/09 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Tomas Farjat Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Dante Pagani Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/09 | Mate Valkusz M15 Budapest |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Trisztan Gubi M15 Budapest |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/09 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Meerbusch |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bernardo Munk Mesa vs Bruno Fernandez?
Our model gives 56% to Bruno Fernandez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.