Tennis · Challenger Antofagasta · 04/10, 15:00
Prediction: Franco Ribero vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Team pages: Franco Ribero · Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Prediction summary
Winner
Franco Ribero
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Franco Ribero
5-5 (W-L)
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Franco Ribero
0–1
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
(1 last)
- 12 Nov0-2 4-11L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Franco Ribero 1464 · Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 1528
| Franco Ribero | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez (rating 1464 vs 1528).
- Head-to-head: Franco Ribero 0–1 Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez (1).
Statistics
| Franco Ribero | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.2 | 10.9-9.2 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 50.8% | 58.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Franco Ribero 0 – 1 Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Franco Ribero 0–1 Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/25 ITF M15 Azul | 0-2 | 4-11 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Franco Ribero
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Danial Spasov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Daniel Michalski M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/08 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 06/07 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Alessio Basile Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Wilson Leite Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/09 | Bruno Milani Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/09 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/09 | Tadeo Meneo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves M25 Londrina |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Jose Pereira M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/07 | Nicolas Zanellato M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Maximo Zeitune M25 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Franco Ribero vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez?
Our model gives 70% to Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.