Tennis · Challenger Antofagasta · 04/10, 15:00
Prediction: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo vs Santiago De La Fuente
Team pages: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo · Santiago De La Fuente
Prediction summary
Winner
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Santiago De La Fuente
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
8-2 (W-L)
Santiago De La Fuente
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
2–1
Santiago De La Fuente
(3 last)
- 25 Oct2-0 12-4W
- 21 Apr2-0 13-8W
- 27 Oct0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 1600 · Santiago De La Fuente 1480
| Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo | Santiago De La Fuente | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo (rating 1600 vs 1480).
- Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 2–1 Santiago De La Fuente (3).
Statistics
| Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo | Santiago De La Fuente | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 83% (6) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-7.9 | 10.3-9.4 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 54.4% | 46.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 2 – 1 Santiago De La Fuente (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 2–1 Santiago De La Fuente
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/25 ITF M15 Santiago | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/04/25 Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/10/22 UTR Pro Tennis Series Buenos Aires | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 22/09 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/09 | Mateo Del Pino Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/08 | Gonzalo Villanueva M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 28/08 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Santiago De La Fuente
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Pedro Sakamoto Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 27/09 | Boris Arias Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/09 | Matias Franco Descotte Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Gonzalo Villanueva M15 Mar Del Plata |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Tomas Jordi Leston M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Tobia Grandinetti M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Maxwell Exsted M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Mateo Del Pino M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Corey Craig M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Gonzalo Villanueva M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo vs Santiago De La Fuente?
Our model gives 78% to Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.