Tennis · WTA Samsun · 04/10, 11:00
Prediction: Maria Golovina vs Elena Micic
Team pages: Maria Golovina · Elena Micic
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Golovina
Elena Micic
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Golovina
7-3 (W-L)
Elena Micic
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Golovina 1575 · Elena Micic 1451
| Maria Golovina | Elena Micic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Golovina (rating 1575 vs 1451).
- Maria Golovina is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Elena Micic makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Maria Golovina | Elena Micic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (5) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-9.6 | 9.4-11 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 6.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 52.7% | 55.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Golovina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Yuliya Hatouka W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Victoria Milovanova W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 25/09 | Ulyana Hrabavets W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/09 | Hania Abouelsaad W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 23/09 | Anja Wildgruber W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 03/09 | Anna Petkovic W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/08 | Samira De Stefano W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Giorgia Pedone W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Elena Micic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Dalma Galfi WTA Adana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Erika Andreeva WTA Adana · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Isabella Shinikova WTA Adana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/09 | Fangran Tian WTA Ankara · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Julia Riera WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Anouk Koevermans WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 09/09 | Xinyu Gao W50 Evora |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 03/09 | Caroline Werner W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Polina Isakova W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Veronika Podrez WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Golovina vs Elena Micic?
Our model gives 58% to Maria Golovina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.