Tennis · W15 Monastir · 03/10, 11:00
Prediction: Marta Soriano Santiago vs Sophia Biolay
Team pages: Marta Soriano Santiago · Sophia Biolay
Prediction summary
Winner
Marta Soriano Santiago
Sophia Biolay
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Marta Soriano Santiago
8-2 (W-L)
Sophia Biolay
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marta Soriano Santiago 1586 · Sophia Biolay 1513
| Marta Soriano Santiago | Sophia Biolay | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marta Soriano Santiago (rating 1586 vs 1513).
- Marta Soriano Santiago is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Marta Soriano Santiago makes many double faults (7.4/match).
Statistics
| Marta Soriano Santiago | Sophia Biolay | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (3) | 100% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-9.4 | 10.8-9.1 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 7.4 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 55% | 51.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marta Soriano Santiago
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Astrid Cirotte W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 01/10 | Nour Sahnoun W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Anastasia Bertacchi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Sarah Iliev W15 Dijon |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 10/09 | Diana Marcinkevica W15 Dijon |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/09 | Ninon Carpentier W15 Dijon |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 08/09 | Victoria Pohle W15 Dijon |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Jahnie Van Zyl W15 Cap d'Agde |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Iulia Maria Buculei W15 Cap d'Agde |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 01/09 | Lola Collin W15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Sophia Biolay
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Polina Berezina W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Ella Haavisto W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Kristina Kroitor W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Marie Mattel W15 Dijon |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Nahia Berecoechea W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 25/08 | Adrienn Nagy W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Beatrice Stagno W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Camilla Zanolini W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Daria Yesypchuk W50 Knokke-Heist |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 26/07 | Jutta Lenaerts W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marta Soriano Santiago vs Sophia Biolay?
Our model gives 53% to Sophia Biolay, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.