Tennis · W15 Monastir · 30/09, 10:30

Prediction: Sophia Biolay vs Kristina Kroitor

Team pages: Sophia Biolay · Kristina Kroitor

Prediction summary
Winner
28% 72%
Sophia Biolay Kristina Kroitor
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Sophia Biolay 5-5 (W-L)
WWWWLLWLLL
Kristina Kroitor 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sophia Biolay 1476 · Kristina Kroitor 1550
Sophia BiolayKristina Kroitor
Our model40%60%
Market19%81%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kristina Kroitor (rating 1476 vs 1550).
  • Kristina Kroitor is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Sophia BiolayKristina Kroitor
Win %40%70%
Win % · Hard – 80% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.21.5-0.9
Games (G-P)11-10.611.6-9.9
Aces0.93.2
Double faults3.13.1
1st serve %57.7%65.6%
Break %47.7%51.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sophia Biolay

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Marie Mattel
W15 Dijon
0-2 7-12 L
31/08 Nahia Berecoechea
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
1-2 17-18 L
25/08 Adrienn Nagy
W35 Trieste
0-2 9-13 L
24/08 Beatrice Stagno
W35 Trieste
2-0 12-2 W
19/08 Camilla Zanolini
W35 Bistrita · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
27/07 Daria Yesypchuk
W50 Knokke-Heist
1-2 10-17 L
26/07 Jutta Lenaerts
W50 Knokke-Heist
2-0 12-3 W
24/07 Marie Mettraux
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
1-2 14-17 L
23/07 Eleejah Inisan
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
2-0 12-7 W
22/07 Ninon Carpentier
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
2-0 12-5 W

Kristina Kroitor

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/09 Ellie Daniels
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
25/09 Lan Mi
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
24/09 Florentine Dekkers
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 14-13 W
23/09 Maria Oliver Sanchez
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
22/09 Alexia Trasca
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
17/07 Gaeul Jang
W15 Astana
1-2 14-14 L
16/07 Asylzhan Arystanbekova
W15 Astana
2-1 19-18 W
14/07 Sera Nishimoto
W15 Astana
2-0 12-9 W
10/07 Maria Sholokhova
W15 Astana
0-2 1-12 L
09/07 Anna Sedysheva
W15 Astana
2-1 16-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sophia Biolay vs Kristina Kroitor?

Our model gives 72% to Kristina Kroitor, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.