Tennis · W15 Monastir · 30/09, 10:30
Prediction: Midori Castillo Meza vs Zi Ying Ruan
Team pages: Midori Castillo Meza · Zi Ying Ruan
Prediction summary
Winner
Midori Castillo Meza
Zi Ying Ruan
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Midori Castillo Meza
4-6 (W-L)
Zi Ying Ruan
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Midori Castillo Meza 1504 · Zi Ying Ruan 1457
| Midori Castillo Meza | Zi Ying Ruan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Midori Castillo Meza (rating 1504 vs 1457).
- Note: Zi Ying Ruan makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Midori Castillo Meza | Zi Ying Ruan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-10.7 | 10.4-10.5 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 52.7% | 56.6% |
| Break % | 34.8% | 43.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Midori Castillo Meza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Lan Mi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Sophie Suh UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Bentley Sparks UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Shaya Jovanovic UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Abigail Haile UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 08/09 | Simone Kay UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Jo Yee Chan W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Jessica Bernales W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 27/06 | Alyssa Ahn W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Amy Zhu W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Zi Ying Ruan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Sarina Schnyder W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Isabel Pascual Montalvo W15 Torello · ~Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 20/08 | Paula Cembranos W15 Logrono |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 19/08 | Olga Bienzobas Fernandez Sancho W15 Logrono |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Beatrice Stagno W15 Savitaipale |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Ema Kovacevic W15 Savitaipale |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/07 | Iben Mol W15 Savitaipale |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/07 | Anna Petkovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Anastasia Mozgaleva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Ksenia Zaytseva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Midori Castillo Meza vs Zi Ying Ruan?
Our model gives 69% to Midori Castillo Meza, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.