Tennis · Challenger Columbus · 02/10, 17:00
Prediction: Mitchell Krueger vs Keegan Smith
Team pages: Mitchell Krueger · Keegan Smith
Prediction summary
Winner
Mitchell Krueger
Keegan Smith
Estimated games
25
Recent form · 10 last
Mitchell Krueger
7-3 (W-L)
Keegan Smith
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mitchell Krueger
1–1
Keegan Smith
(2 last)
- 15 Sept2-1 19-17W
- 12 Sept0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mitchell Krueger 1524 · Keegan Smith 1501
| Mitchell Krueger | Keegan Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mitchell Krueger | Keegan Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-12.3 | 13.5-13.9 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 9.8 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 73.5% |
| Break % | 44.4% | 21.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25
H2H · Mitchell Krueger 1 – 1 Keegan Smith (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mitchell Krueger 1–1 Keegan Smith
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/26 Challenger Tiburon | 2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 12/09/22 Challenger Cary | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mitchell Krueger
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 28/09 | Tyler Zink Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 18/09 | Michael Zheng Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/09 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 15/09 | Keegan Smith Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 25/08 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/07 | Alex Martinez Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Gavin Young M25 Dallas |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Oliver Okonkwo M25 Dallas |
1-1 | 7-4 | W |
Keegan Smith
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Bryce Nakashima Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 30/09 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Edward Winter Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 15/09 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 24/08 | Alexis Galarneau US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 25/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Paul Inchauspe Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 22/07 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mitchell Krueger vs Keegan Smith?
Our model gives 52% to Keegan Smith, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.