Tennis · Challenger Columbus · 01/10, 16:00

Prediction: Mees Rottgering vs Andy Andrade

Team pages: Mees Rottgering · Andy Andrade

Prediction summary
Winner
53% 47%
Mees Rottgering Andy Andrade
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Mees Rottgering 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWWLLWW
Andy Andrade 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLWLLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mees Rottgering 1555 · Andy Andrade 1580
Mees RottgeringAndy Andrade
Our model46%54%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Mees RottgeringAndy Andrade
Win %70%70%
Win % · Hard 70% (10) 78% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.71.5-0.9
Games (G-P)11.1-8.712.2-10.9
Aces3.22.7
Double faults33.8
1st serve %75.6%73.2%
Break %48.4%38.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mees Rottgering

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/09 Braden Shick
Challenger Columbus · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
28/09 Edward Winter
Challenger Columbus · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
23/09 Nishesh Basavareddy
Challenger San Diego · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
26/08 Arthur Fery
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
26/08 Tomas Machac
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
24/08 Jan Choinski
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-1 15-15 W
23/08 Hugo Grenier
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
22/08 Hunter Heck
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
14/08 Lloyd Harris
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
12/08 Henry Searle
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
2-0 13-8 W

Andy Andrade

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/09 Luca Staeheli
Challenger Columbus · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
29/09 Trevor Svajda
Challenger Columbus · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
26/09 Nishesh Basavareddy
Challenger San Diego · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
24/09 Darwin Blanch
Challenger San Diego · Hard
2-1 16-14 W
23/09 Abedallah Shelbayh
Challenger San Diego · Hard
2-1 17-14 W
19/09 Toby Samuel
Davis Cup
1-2 11-16 L
30/08 Aidan Mayo
Challenger Kingston · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
28/08 Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-1 15-13 W
27/08 Max Purcell
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
26/08 Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mees Rottgering vs Andy Andrade?

Our model gives 53% to Mees Rottgering, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.