Tennis · Challenger Columbus · 01/10, 16:00
Prediction: Stefan Kozlov vs Mitchell Krueger
Team pages: Stefan Kozlov · Mitchell Krueger
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefan Kozlov
Mitchell Krueger
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Stefan Kozlov
4-6 (W-L)
Mitchell Krueger
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Stefan Kozlov
5–4
Mitchell Krueger
(9 last)
- 07 Jul1-2 8-15L
- 20 Apr1-2 10-15L
- 01 Nov2-1 14-17W
- 21 Mar0-2 4-12L
- 19 Nov2-0 12-8W
- 21 Sept2-0 12-3W
- 02 Jan2-1 17-12W
- 16 Apr2-0 12-7W
Showing the 8 with a final score we have.
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefan Kozlov 1449 · Mitchell Krueger 1516
| Stefan Kozlov | Mitchell Krueger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mitchell Krueger (rating 1449 vs 1516).
- Mitchell Krueger is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Stefan Kozlov 5–4 Mitchell Krueger (9).
Statistics
| Stefan Kozlov | Mitchell Krueger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-12.3 | 13.1-11.6 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 44.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
H2H · Stefan Kozlov 5 – 4 Mitchell Krueger (9)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stefan Kozlov 5–4 Mitchell Krueger
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/25 Challenger Newport | 1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 20/04/24 Challenger Tallahassee | 1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 01/11/22 Challenger Charlottesville | 2-1 | 14-17 | W |
| 21/03/22 ATP Miami | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/11/21 Challenger Champaign | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/09/21 Challenger Columbus | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/01/19 Challenger Orlando | 2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 16/04/18 Challenger Sarasota | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefan Kozlov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | James Trotter Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Colton Smith Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 14/08 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 25/07 | Zachary Svajda ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/07 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Leo Vithoontien Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Yi Zhou Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Mitchell Krueger
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Tyler Zink Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 18/09 | Michael Zheng Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/09 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 15/09 | Keegan Smith Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 25/08 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/07 | Alex Martinez Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Gavin Young M25 Dallas |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Oliver Okonkwo M25 Dallas |
1-1 | 7-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Aleksandar Mitric M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefan Kozlov vs Mitchell Krueger?
Our model gives 54% to Mitchell Krueger, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.